What Zillow, Redfin, Realtor.com, and Compass Are Signaling for Denver, Applewood, and Wheat Ridge

As we head into 2026, one thing is clear across nearly every major housing forecast: the market is shifting, but not in dramatic or headline grabbing ways. Instead of another boom or bust cycle, economists and industry leaders are pointing to a slower, steadier transition toward balance.

National platforms like Zillow, Realtor.com, Redfin, and Compass are largely aligned in their outlook for 2026. Affordability is expected to improve gradually, inventory is beginning to normalize, and buyer and seller expectations are recalibrating after several turbulent years.

For homeowners and buyers in Denver, Wheat Ridge, and Applewood, understanding how these national trends translate locally is critical. As an Applewood resident and real estate agent, Jason Sirois works daily with hyper local data to help clients cut through the noise and focus on what actually matters for their specific neighborhood.

Below is a clear breakdown of what the major housing forecasts are telling us and what it means for our corner of the Denver metro area.

A National Shift Toward Stability, Not Speed

Across all forecasts, the dominant theme for 2026 is normalization. After years defined by extreme scarcity, rapid price swings, and unpredictable mortgage rates, the housing market appears to be settling into a more sustainable rhythm.

Rather than sharp price appreciation, economists expect prices to move sideways in many markets. Instead of frenzied competition, buyers are seeing more options and time to make decisions. Sellers are no longer guaranteed instant results but are finding success with thoughtful pricing and strong presentation.

This type of environment favors informed decision making, local expertise, and realistic expectations on both sides of the transaction.

Zillow’s Outlook: A Calmer, Healthier Market

Zillow characterizes 2026 as a gentle warm up rather than a rebound year. Their research suggests that buyer demand is slowly returning as affordability improves, while sellers benefit from price stability rather than volatility.

Rental conditions are also expected to soften slightly, offering relief for renters who have been waiting on the sidelines. Zillow does caution that new construction may remain constrained, which reinforces the importance of existing inventory and resale homes, particularly in established neighborhoods like Applewood and Wheat Ridge.

The takeaway from Zillow is that 2026 looks calmer, more predictable, and far less reactive than the past several years.

Realtor.com: Incremental Progress and More Choice

Realtor.com echoes this sentiment of steady progress. Their outlook focuses on affordability gradually improving as incomes rise and the market edges closer to balance.

Buyers are expected to see more inventory and slightly more leverage than in recent years. Sellers, meanwhile, are navigating a market where preparation and pricing matter more than ever. Homes that are positioned correctly still perform well, but buyers are more selective.

Realtor.com frames 2026 as a year of opportunity, particularly for those who understand how to read the market rather than chase headlines.

Redfin’s Perspective: The Beginning of a Longer Reset

Redfin takes a longer view, describing 2026 as the beginning of a multi year housing reset. Their economists expect affordability to improve as wage growth outpaces home price growth, even if progress feels slow.

They also highlight how housing costs are reshaping behavior, especially for younger buyers. More people are delaying purchases, sharing housing, or prioritizing flexibility. Policy discussions around housing supply and zoning are expected to continue, but meaningful impact will take time.

Redfin’s message is clear: improvement is coming, but patience and strategy remain essential.

Compass 2026 Outlook: A New Era of Balance

Compass frames 2026 as the start of a new housing era defined by stability rather than shock. Their research emphasizes that the conditions which led to past housing crises are not present today. Homeowners generally have strong equity positions, lending standards remain disciplined, and distress driven selling is not widespread.

Compass highlights three major forces shaping the year ahead: improving affordability through flat pricing and rising incomes, a gradual return of homeowner mobility as rate lock in fades, and increasing differences between local markets.

This reinforces an important point for Denver area homeowners. National averages often mask neighborhood level realities. What happens in Phoenix or Miami does not automatically apply to Applewood or Wheat Ridge.

What This Means for Denver, Applewood, and Wheat Ridge

Locally, these national trends are showing up in familiar ways. Inventory has increased compared to recent years, giving buyers more options. At the same time, well maintained homes in desirable neighborhoods continue to attract strong interest when priced correctly.

Applewood remains a standout for buyers seeking larger lots, mountain views, and established homes near Denver amenities. Wheat Ridge continues to appeal to those looking for walkability, redevelopment potential, and proximity to downtown.

As an Applewood resident, Jason Sirois stays closely connected to neighborhood level data, including days on market, price reductions, and buyer activity that do not always make national headlines. This local lens is critical in a market where strategy matters more than speed.

Guidance for Buyers Heading into 2026

For buyers, 2026 is shaping up to be a year where preparation pays off. More inventory and less urgency allow for thoughtful decision making, stronger inspections, and clearer negotiations.

That said, good homes in great locations still move. Working with a local Realtor who understands micro trends within Denver, Wheat Ridge, and Applewood can help buyers identify value without missing opportunity.

Guidance for Sellers Heading into 2026

For sellers, the days of testing the market with ambitious pricing are largely behind us. Buyers are informed, selective, and comparison driven.

Homes that are priced accurately from day one and presented well continue to perform. Sellers who take the time to understand current data and buyer behavior are best positioned for success.

Jason Sirois and the FORM Team at Compass Denver regularly help sellers evaluate whether now is the right time to list, or whether waiting aligns better with their goals based on neighborhood specific trends.

Final Thoughts: Why Local Expertise Matters More Than Ever

The biggest lesson from the 2026 housing outlook is that real estate is becoming local again. Broad national narratives matter less than neighborhood level data, pricing strategy, and timing.

If you are considering a move within Denver, thinking about selling in Applewood, or exploring opportunities in Wheat Ridge, having a trusted local resource makes all the difference. Jason Sirois is an Applewood Realtor and resident who brings both data driven insight and firsthand neighborhood experience to every conversation.

If you would like a personalized market review or have questions about how these trends apply to your home or goals, the FORM Team at Compass Denver would be happy to help.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will home prices drop significantly in 2026?
Most forecasts suggest prices will remain relatively flat rather than decline sharply. Local conditions will matter more than national averages.

Is 2026 a good year to buy in Denver?
For prepared buyers, 2026 may offer more choice and less competition than recent years, especially in neighborhoods like Wheat Ridge and Applewood.

Should I sell my Applewood home in 2026 or wait?
This depends on your goals, timeline, and the condition of your home. A local data review is the best place to start.

Are mortgage rates expected to fall dramatically?
Most forecasts expect rates to stabilize rather than fall sharply. Small changes can still impact affordability.

Why do local trends matter more than national forecasts?
Housing markets vary block by block. National data often overlooks the nuances that drive real outcomes.